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Investigating the Efficacy of ARIMA Models for Predicting Dow Jones Industrial Average Stock Prices International Journal of Financial Management

By: Material type: TextTextDescription: 34-39pSubject(s): In: International Journal of Financial ManagementSummary: The prediction of stock price volatility holds significant importance in the realms of economics and finance, offering substantial benefits to both investors and economists. This paper employs the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to forecast the stock prices of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), a key index in the financial market. The study utliises daily data of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) spanning from 1 April 2021 to 31 March 2023. Empirical evidence strongly suggests the effectiveness of ARIMA models in predicting DJI stock prices. Furthermore, the study’s findings reveal that the ARIMA model excels particularly in short-term forecasting, demonstrating favourable performance when compared to existing techniques for stock price prediction. Through the utilisation of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) criteria, the study identifies ARIMA (1, 1, 0) as the optimal model for accurately forecasting the share price of DJI within the specified timeframe.
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Holdings
Item type Current library Call number Vol info Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Journal Article Journal Article Main Library Finance (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 55514215JA3
Journals and Periodicals Journals and Periodicals Main Library On Display INT/JOUR/FIN (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Vol 14, No 1 (01/02/2024) Not for loan 55514215
Total holds: 0

The prediction of stock price volatility holds significant importance in the realms of economics and finance, offering substantial benefits to both investors and economists. This paper employs the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to forecast the stock prices of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), a key index in the financial market. The study utliises daily data of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) spanning from 1 April 2021 to 31 March 2023. Empirical evidence strongly suggests the effectiveness of ARIMA models in predicting DJI stock prices. Furthermore, the study’s findings reveal that the ARIMA model excels particularly in short-term forecasting, demonstrating favourable performance when compared to existing techniques for stock price prediction. Through the utilisation of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) criteria, the study identifies ARIMA (1, 1, 0) as the optimal model for accurately forecasting the share price of DJI within the specified timeframe.

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