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Forecasting the price of gold: An error correction approach Gangopadhyay, Kausik

By: Material type: TextTextPublication details: Bangalore Indian Institute of Management - Bangalore 6 November 2015Description: 6-12Subject(s): In: RAVI aNSHUMAN V. IIMB Management Review
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Item type Current library Call number Vol info Status Notes Date due Barcode Item holds
Journal Article Journal Article Main Library Vol. 28, No. 1/5555646JA1 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 5555646JA1
Journals and Periodicals Journals and Periodicals Main Library On Display JRNL/GEN/Vol 28, Issue 1/5555646 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Vol 28, Issue 1 (30/04/2015) Not for loan March, 2016 5555646
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Gold prices in the Indian market may be influenced by a multitude of factors such as the value of gold in investment decisions, as an inflation hedge, and in consumption motive. We develop a model to explain and forecast gold prices in India, using a vector error correction model. We identify investment decision and inflation hedge as prime movers of the data. We also present out-of-sample forecasts of our model and the related properties.

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