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Understanding the Dynamics of Core Inflation of newly created Consumer Price Indices of India.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Finance India ; XXXIII(3)Description: 585-60 pSubject(s): In: AGRAWAL, J.D. Finance IndiaSummary: The study examines the relationship between headline and core inflation for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and evaluates the suitability of the measures of core inflation. By using exclusion based measure two core measures have been constructed for newly created CPIs: CPI (Rural): CPI Rural excluding Food Index, CPI Rural excluding Food and Fuel Index; CPI (Urban): CPI Urban excluding Food Index, CPI Urban excluding Food and Fuel Index; CPI (Combined): CPI Combined excluding Food Index, CPI Combined excluding Food and Fuel Index. Test of Predictability, Test of Volatility and Test of Causality have been performed to find the suitable core measure. The CPI-Urban Excluding Food and Fuel has been found as the best core measure because (a)For all the three time periods (1, 2, and 3 months) the headline CPI-Urban reverted back to the core measure CPI-Urban Excluding Food and Fuel; (b)It has been found to be the least volatile measure; (c) It has unidirectional causality at both lags 1 and 2.
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Holdings
Item type Current library Call number Vol info Status Notes Date due Barcode Item holds
Journal Article Journal Article Main Library Vol 33, Issue 3/ 55511228JA1 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 55511228JA1
Journals and Periodicals Journals and Periodicals Main Library On Display JP/FIN/Vol 33, Issue 3/55511228 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Vol 33, Issue 3 (06/04/2023) Not for loan September, 2019 55511228
Total holds: 0

The study examines the relationship between headline and core inflation for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and evaluates the suitability of the measures of core inflation. By using exclusion based measure two core measures have been constructed for newly created CPIs: CPI (Rural): CPI Rural excluding Food Index, CPI Rural excluding Food and Fuel Index; CPI (Urban): CPI Urban excluding Food Index, CPI Urban excluding Food and Fuel Index; CPI (Combined): CPI Combined excluding Food Index, CPI Combined excluding Food and Fuel Index. Test of Predictability, Test of Volatility and Test of Causality have been performed to find the suitable core measure. The CPI-Urban Excluding Food and Fuel has been found as the best core measure because (a)For all the three time periods (1, 2, and 3 months) the headline CPI-Urban reverted back to the core measure CPI-Urban Excluding Food and Fuel; (b)It has been found to be the least volatile measure; (c) It has unidirectional causality at both lags 1 and 2.

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